Mario Kart Wii item probability distributions

Revision as of 08:16, April 13, 2020 by Mister Wu (talk | contribs) (Since this data cones directly from the game’s probability tables, additions must be sourced. Empirical probabilities cannot be accepted due to item restriction rules changing the probability: as an example, only one Thunder can be obtained at a time)

The following tables are used in Mario Kart Wii to determine the probability of receiving an item when an Item Box is opened. Like in Mario Kart DS, only the tables for the default case are stored in the game's files; in Mario Kart Wii, it is known as the "Balanced" case. The probability is coded as percentage multiplied by two. The distributions are presented in the order used in the code.[1]

Races

In the races, the item probability distributions are chosen depending on the rank of the driver when the Item Box is opened.

Grand Prix races

Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by players
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 50 35 20 10 5
  15 50 40 30 20 15 10 5
  75 35 20 10 5
  35 20 10 5 5
  20 35 40 30 25 15 5
  10 20 35 50 55 65 70 50 40 25
  5 15 15 10 10
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 10 15 10 5
  5 15 25 45
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 15 25 40 45 40 30
  10 30 45 55 60 55 50
  5 10 20 15 10
  5 10 15 15 10 5
  10 10 15 10 5
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 10 15 15 10 5
  10 20 30 40 50
  10 25 20 10
  15 25 20 15 10
  25 25 15 5
Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by software
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 50 40 40 35 30 30 35 30 30 20 15 5
  10 65 40 35 25 20 15 10
  70 40 35 35 25 20 20 20 15 10 5
  35 20 15 15 10 10 5
  10 15 25 30 30 35 40 45 35 35 35 10
  10 15 20 25 30 35 45 65 55 25
  5 10 10 10 5 5
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 10 10 10 10
  35
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 15 25 30 35 40
  15 30 35 40
  5 10 15 10 10
  10 10 10 10 10
  10 10 10 10 5
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 10 10 5
  10 20 45
  15 15 10 5
 
  25 20 10

VS Races

Local VS Races, drivers controlled by players
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 65 35 25 15 5
  50 45 40 25 15 10
  75 35 20 5 5
  35 20 10 5
  20 35 45 35 30 20 15 5
  5 15 30 45 55 65 75 65 45 15
  5 10 15 10 10
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 10 15 15 10 5
  45
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 10 25 35 50 45 35
  5 20 40 50 70 70 40
  5 15 20 20 10 10
  10 10 10 10 10
  10 10 15 10 10
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 10 15 15 15 10 5
  15 40 65
  10 20 20 10 5
  5 10 20 20 15 10
  25 25 15 5
Local VS Races, drivers controlled by software
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 50 40 40 35 30 30 35 30 30 20 15 5
  10 65 35 35 30 20 15 10
  70 40 35 35 30 25 20 20 15 10 10
  35 20 15 15 10 10 5
  10 15 25 30 35 40 40 45 35 35 35 10
  10 15 20 25 30 35 40 60 65 30
  5 10 10 10 5 5
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 10 10 10 10
  25
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 15 25 35 40 30
  15 25 35 50
  5 10 15 10 10
  10 10 10 10 10 5
  10 10 10 10
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 10 10 5 5
  50
  15 15 10 5
 
  25 15 10
Online VS Races
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 65 35 30 15 10
  50 50 40 30 20 10 5
  75 40 15 5
  40 15 10 5
  25 35 45 30 25 20
  10 20 30 50 65 75 60 25 10
  5 10 15 15 10
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 10 15 15 10 5
  15 40
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 25 40 55 55 35
  5 20 45 55 70 60 45
  5 15 20 15 10
  10 15 15 10 10
  10 10 15 10 10
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 15 15 15 10 10
  5 15 45 70
  10 20 20 15 10 5
  10 20 20 20 15 10
  20 25 20 5

Special cases

These distributions are used in special cases. For example, the 12th distribution is used for the special item boxes in Chain Chomp Wheel. The last four distributions do not allow to obtain any item, it's unclear whether they are actually used or not.

Special cases
Item Distribution
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 200
  200
  200 100
 
  200 100 10
  200
  200
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png
 
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 200 190
 
  200
 
 
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 200
 
  200
 
 

Battles

In the battles, the distribution is chosen depending on how many points behind the driver is with respect to the driver with the most point of the opposite team when the item box is opened.[2]

Local Balloon Battle

Local Balloon Battles, drivers controlled by players
Item Points behind
Less than 3/1st place Between 3 and 5 More than 5
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 50 15
  50 60 60
  25 10
  15 10
  15 10
  10 20
  10 10 10
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 10
  10
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 10 20
 
  10 15 20
  10 5
 
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png
 
  15 15 15
  15 30
  10 10
Local Balloon Battles, drivers controlled by software
Item Points behind
Less than 3/1st place Between 3 and 5 More than 5
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 55 35 15
  40 60 80
  45 15
  25 15
  10 5
  5 10
  10 10 10
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5
  10
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 10
 
  5 10 15
  5 10 5
 
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png
 
  5 15 25
 
  10 10 10

Local Coin Runners

Local Coin Runners battles, drivers controlled by players
Item Points behind
Less than 4/1st place Between 4 and 7 More than 7
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 40 20
  60 60 65
  25 10
  20 10
  10 5
  10 15
  10 10 10
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5
 
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 10 20
  10
  10 15 20
  10 5
  5
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png
 
  15 15 15
  15 30
  10 10
Local Coin Runners battles, drivers controlled by software
Item Points behind
Less than 4/1st place Between 4 and 7 More than 7
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 55 40 20
  45 60 80
  40 15
  25 10
  5 10 5
  5 10
  10 10 10
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5
 
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 5 10
 
  5 10 15
  5 10 5
  5
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png
 
  15 25
 
  10 10 10

Online Balloon Battle

Online Balloon Battles
Item Points behind
Less than 3/1st place Between 3 and 5 More than 5
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 45 15
  50 60 65
  25 5
  20 10
  15 15
  10 20
  10 10 10
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5
  10
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 10 20
 
  10 15 20
  10 5
 
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png
 
  15 15 15
  15 30
  10 10

Online Coin Runners

Online Coin Runners battles
Item Points behind
Less than 4/1st place Between 4 and 7 More than 7
File:Green Shell Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png 40 15
  55 60 70
  25 5
  20 10
  15 15
  10 15
  10 10 10
File:Spiny Shell - Mario Kart Wii.png 5
 
File:Star - Mario Kart Wii.png 10 20
  5
  10 15 20
  10 5
  5
File:Thunder Cloud Artwork - Mario Kart Wii.png
 
  15 15 15
  15 30
  10 10

References

  1. ^ A transcription of the item probability tables used by Mario Kart Wii.
  2. ^ Jonathan Aldrich (July 27, 2012). Kart/Character/Item FAQ by jdaster64. GameFAQs. Retrieved February 19, 2017.